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Renewables in a downturn: How the Middle East’s approach diverges from the West

Middle East continues investing in renewables, while European energy companies retreat amid economic challenges

Equinor ASA, the Norwegian energy company, has announced plans to downsize its renewables unit, marking a significant pivot in its clean-energy strategy. This decision, which includes commencing discussions with unions about the future of employees within the division, positions Equinor as the latest European oil and gas producer to adjust its strategy in response to the dual challenges of escalating costs and declining returns in the renewables sector.

According to an internal memo obtained by Bloomberg, Equinor has decided to shift its focus from growth to profitability, intending to scale back its renewable energy projects to fewer markets. Pal Eitrheim, the head of Equinor’s renewables unit, stated in the memo, “Renewables is in a down cycle, and the next two to three years will be about getting in shape to compete effectively when the industry rebounds.” The memo also indicated that Equinor had already abandoned several projects with “poor economics,” underscoring the need for further adjustments to adapt to the “new realities” of the market.

This strategic recalibration at Equinor is emblematic of a broader trend sweeping through Europe, where major oil companies are re-evaluating their investments in renewable energy. The renewables sector, particularly offshore wind, has been grappling with a combination of rising interest rates, supply chain disruptions, and inflationary pressures. These challenges have led several European energy giants to reconsider their commitment to clean energy. For instance, BP Plc announced in 2023 that it would increase its oil and gas production beyond previously set targets and pause its expansion in offshore wind, while Shell Plc has similarly scaled back its ambitious plans to cut carbon emissions and invest in renewable power.

The challenges facing renewables in Europe have forced companies like Equinor to make tough decisions regarding their workforce. The company has initiated a “dialogue with union representatives” to outline the process for managing these changes. This includes engagement with UK employees through Works Councils and a series of town hall meetings designed to keep staff informed and involved in the transition. The first of these meetings was held on Thursday afternoon, signalling the start of what is likely to be a complex and delicate process.

Despite these cutbacks, Equinor remains committed to its long-term renewable targets and is pushing forward with several major projects. This year is projected to be “the busiest year of execution ever” for Equinor’s renewables division, with the company moving ahead with three large-scale wind projects: Dogger Bank in the UK, Empire Wind 1 in the US, and Baltyk 2 and 3 in Poland. While these projects are on track and expected to require additional personnel as they advance, Equinor is simultaneously reducing its spending on early-phase projects, cutting administrative costs, and “simplifying” its operational approach.

As part of this streamlining, Equinor’s renewables unit has suspended business development activities in France, Spain, Portugal, and Vietnam, and is currently assessing its entire Americas portfolio to identify areas where costs can be further reduced. The company is also considering adjustments to projects in Australia, contingent on the outcomes of ongoing license awards, according to the memo.

While Equinor and its European peers are grappling with the financial and logistical hurdles currently facing the renewables sector, the situation in the Middle East presents a stark contrast. Unlike the cautious retreat being observed in Europe, Middle Eastern nations, particularly the UAE and Saudi Arabia, continue to forge ahead with ambitious renewable energy investments. This divergence is underpinned by a combination of government-backed initiatives, robust financial reserves, and a strategic vision aimed at achieving long-term sustainability and energy diversification.

The UAE’s Masdar, for instance, has been aggressively expanding its renewable energy portfolio across the globe, and Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 continues to spearhead significant investments in solar and wind energy. These initiatives are part of a broader strategy to reduce the region’s dependence on oil and gas while positioning the Middle East as a global leader in the energy transition.

This strategic divergence between the Middle East and the West is further highlighted by the contrasting motivations driving renewable energy investments. In the Middle East, the focus remains steadfastly on sustainability, supported by national visions that aim to balance economic growth with environmental responsibility. In Europe, however, the renewables sector is increasingly viewed through the lens of financial viability, with companies retreating to their core petroleum businesses as they navigate the economic challenges that have beset the clean energy industry.

As Western energy companies pull back on their renewable ambitions, the Middle East’s continued commitment to these initiatives underscores the region’s evolving role in the global energy landscape. The substantial investments in renewables by Middle Eastern countries signal a clear intent to not only participate in but lead the global shift towards sustainable energy. This approach is not only about reducing carbon footprints but also about ensuring energy security, economic diversification, and positioning the region as a key player in the future of global energy.

In conclusion, while Europe’s energy giants, such as Equinor, recalibrate their strategies in response to the economic downturn in renewables, the Middle East’s continued investment in clean energy represents a strategic divergence that could shape the future of the global energy market. As the renewables sector faces challenging times, the differing approaches between the Middle East and the West may well determine the pace and direction of the global energy transition in the years to come.

Dean Mikkelsen

Dean Mikkelsen brings over two decades of extensive experience in the oil and gas sector to his role as Editor of Oil & Gas Middle East. With a dynamic background that spans exploration and production,...